Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald Poll shows Mitt Romney Beating President Obama 45-51 percent in Florida

Mitt Romney and Barack Obama. By

Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.

Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

Romney’s crossover appeal is fueled by strong support in rural North Florida, a conservative bastion where a relatively high percentage of Democrats often vote Republican in presidential election years.

“I’m pretty convinced Romney’s going to win Florida,” said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker, who conducted the 800-likely voter survey from Tuesday through Thursday.

Romney is winning handily among men, marginally losing with women voters and has outsized support among non-Hispanic whites. He’s essentially winning on the issues as well: the economy, Medicare, foreign policy and looking out for the middle-class.

Coker noted the poll results are essentially unchanged from last month, when Romney led by a point more after he crushed Obama in their first debate.

The October poll and this one, which have error margins of 3.5 percent, were conducted for The Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald as well as the Tampa Bay Times, Bay News 9 and Central Florida News 13.

Although the latest survey shows Romney comfortably ahead 51-45 percent in Florida, the Republican can’t rest easy. Other polls show a tighter race, although they use a different method of polling than that of Mason-Dixon, a Florida-based firm.

Obama draws only 5 percent Republican support, but Romney draws 16 percent of the likely Democratic vote in the poll.

And Romney beats Obama with independents — the tie-breaker voters — by a six-point margin. That’s not necessarily a comfortable lead for Romney, who was ahead by 13 points last month among independents.

Romney jumped to an overall lead last month after the first presidential debate, in which Obama’s performance was so poor that even he joked about how bad he was.

Hispanic voters moved a total of seven points in Obama’s favor in a month, but he’s not carrying their vote with the double digits he probably needs because of his poor standing among non-Hispanic whites.

Romney is trusted more than Obama on handling the economy and leading the nation by the same amount: 53-44 percent.

By a 50-48 percent split, Romney’s trusted more to look out for the middle-class and he has another inside-the-error-margin lead over Obama of 49-47 percent when it comes to handling foreign policy.

Asked who would be worse for Medicare, 52 percent said Obama and 44 percent said Romney.

Obama’s campaign has dismissed the results of likely voter polls, such as this one, pointing to statistics that indicate they’re turning out so-called “sporadic” and new voters. In essence, they argue that likely voter polls miss their voters who, by definition, are unlikely.

But Coker said the poll was conducted with a registered voter list and “we’re not missing anybody based on our method.”

Also, the Romney campaign notes that most non-partisan polls show the Republican ahead in Florida and doing better among independents.

Source: The Miami Herald

Romney is Going Upward in Poll Survey after Obama’s Rude statement During their debate


After the shellacking Team Obama faces in trying to regroup beyond those predictable poll bounces and fundraising. Some less than obvious benefits are still emerging after Mitt Romney brilliant performance in the first debate.

All the president’s men immediately went into DEFCON attack mode desperately trying to change the storyline. They charged out of Denver calling Romney a liar and promised that a more combative president would show up the next time as shown on their stump and in ads.
It was spitting’ mad after Obama’s pathetic performance which was a reaction designed to calm his left wing base. A potential high price was carried by the leftward lurch.
Obama’s need to attract moderate independents who will decide the election clashes with his effort to placate the MSNBC. His decision to go ultra negative and nasty creates another opportunity for Romney in the swing states because it’s difficult to do both at the same time.
Romney and Obama both tried to do it at the debate, but with different results. The candidates shore up their bases in the primary reasons then move to the center to broaden their appeal for the general election.
The president tried to cast himself as a reasonable man. Four years ago, Obama promised but rarely kept after he got into the White House which became an echo of the uniter role.
Obama talked about bipartisan and praised the Simpson-Bowles deficit reduction plan he had shunned while Romney touted his work with Democrats in Massachusetts . He mentioned them only in the context of issues supported by both parties rather than using “Republicans” as a pejorative.
The president’s tongue-tied stupor and the fury on the left is scrambling the feint to the center which are the president’s weak effort being quickly overshadowed. An unexpected problem he didn’t expect to face so late in the campaign. For two years he is pandering after all to environmentalists, unions, young and minority voters

Signs that Romney Wins this November Election

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Romney situation now is sunnier that it first appears and a little bit closer as what Team Romney is looking right now.

Josh Barro the Bloomberg View columnist declared confidently that “Romney just lost the election.” This is not exactly the world’s most liberal commentator should be.  The secret video of Romney is the fatal blow of Barro’s view about wealth donors in May, in which the candidate essentially writes of 47% of voters as tax dodging, government-dependent Obama supporters. To the Romney campaign, this video is the latest blow. This is bad news and worse omens for Team Romney. However, not everything is gloom and doom. Here below are the five reasons that Romney and his supporters to feel good about the campaign and why Romney will become the next president of 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. :
  1. Obama’s convention bounce is flattening out but Romney trails in the polls, and according to Mytheos Holt at The Blaze, most surveys are skewed toward Democrats. The 2008 voter turn out are based on the polling models where Obama can’t get the same +7 Democratic advantage this year. David Weigel at Slate says, Right, “take away the happy shiny models, and the Obama lead vanishes.
  2. The popular vote doesn’t determine the next president as we memorably learned in 2000, says Tyler Talgo at Neon Tommy. Obama is polling fewer than 50 percent in many swing states, and I bet undecided will go heavily for the challenger.,
  3.  Former Rep. Dennis Hastert says” If Romney can “keep the focus on the biggest issue of the election, which of course is our ailing economy, “then Obama will be a one-termer.
  4. Karin McQuillan at American Thinker says, Put simply, Romney “will win because conservatives know what is at stake and we know we can’t afford to lose.” The tea Party fervor swept us into power in 2010 and this year Republicans are more enthusiastic and more engage.
  5.  With the economy growing anemically the Republicans regard as a golden opportunity to defeat an incumbent. “If he can beat Obama in the first presidential debate Oct. 3, Romney could easily be on track for the come-from-behind victory of Republicans.

Mitt Romney has the point to criticize Obama on Terrorist Attack of U.S. Embassy


The Democrats and the media saying Mitt Romney maybe guilty of bad timing should not be cowed by both of them into staying silent on what looks to be a terrorist killing of U.S. ambassador.

The infiltration of terrorist into the U.S. consulate in Libya made President Obama accountable for how his administration allows this to happen. Instead of preventing the demonstrators from scaling its walls, embassy in Cairo appeared to be more worried about hurting the feelings of Islamic extremists hence, White House must explain about this moved.
The important is the threat of terrorism for a presidential candidate to sit down on the sideline, even it means, wading into an issue that is not the strong suit of the former Massachusetts governor’s case.
Romney’s former rival asked, Newt Gingrich, in a Herald interview, “Why wouldn’t a presidential candidate speak up?” and further said, “The president wasn’t (speaking up).”
It’s unclear whether the administration of Obama took the threats seriously enough as what Gingrich pointed out. He may not be the best public defender of Romney, but he has a good point of saying Obama didn’t say much about the growing unrest in Libya leading up to the attacks.
All of a sudden Obama has plenty to say about Romney and his reaction to the likely terror attacks, dismissing him for a “shoot first and aim later” attitude.
The failure of the administration to prevent the first killing of a U.S. ambassador is in comparison in 1979 during the Carter administration when Romney issues a statement criticizing Obama before the attacks were over.
The opponent of Jimmy Carter during the re-election campaign did not shy away from criticizing his leadership after Iranian terrorist held 52 Americans hostage.
Ronald Reagan was the opponent.
According to an Associated Press story, Reagan assailed for “weakness and vacillation” during the 1980 campaign and the Democratic administration was blamed for helping to “create the entire situation that made their kidnap possible.”
Take note of that, Mitt – After a botched military raid to release the hostages, Reagan wisely did not criticize Carter immediately but was not afraid to put the hostage takers notice, saying he wouldn’t “stand by and do nothing.”